Publications
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11 Publications found…
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Blog post 4 April 2025
Reciprocal tariffs: some simulations
By Nicolò Tamberi.
View postSummary CITP publication
We simulate the possible effects of the US Reciprocal Tariffs using a modern trade model accounting for global supply chain linkages
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Briefing Paper 19 February 2025
Regulatory cooperation through trade: Trends, challenges and recommendations for middle-power countries
By Jiyeong Go, Emily Lydgate, Andrew Lang, Minako Morita Jaeger, Joris Hoste, Nicolò Tamberi and Bernard Hoekman et al.
View postSummary CITP publication
This Briefing Paper discusses the challenge for middle-power countries in global trade governance and explores institutional factors that facilitate successful dialogue on industrial policy and trade.
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Blog post 15 February 2025
The bazooka diplomacy of Trump’s tariffs (VoxEU)
By Michael Gasiorek and Nicolò Tamberi.
View postSummary Non-CITP publication
What are the broad arguments for raising tariffs and the potential repercussions for the US and other countries? How other countries will respond and consequences are very hard to predict. In the long run, we can expect a gradual decoupling of trade between the US and other countries as the uncertainty alone could deter firms from trading with the US, reducing US exports and imports says Michael Gasiorek and Nicolò Tamberi in this VoxEU column.
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Blog post 8 November 2024
Will Trump impose his tariffs? They could reduce the UK’s exports by £22 billion.
By Nicolò Tamberi.
View postSummary CITP publication
Analysis of the impacts of Trumps proposed tariff on different UK sectors finds that ost UK industries will face steep challenges if the US goes ahead with the proposed tariffs.
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Blog post 16 October 2024
Trump’s tariff proposal could cost over $2,000 (£1,500) per capita to US consumers
By Nicolò Tamberi.
View postSummary CITP publication
Analysis of the potential effects of Trump’s proposed tariffs indicate that they will hit US consumers hard.
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Blog post 28 June 2024
Should the UK join the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean convention?
By Nicolò Tamberi.
View postSummary CITP publication
Would UK exports benefit if the UK joined the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean Convention on rules of origin?
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Working Paper 11 June 2024
How to price CBAM permits: Combining the markets for ETS and CBAM carbon permits
By Nicolò Tamberi and L. Alan Winters CB et al.
View postSummary CITP publication
CBAM emission permit price is determined only by the demand for ETS permits by domestic producers. If technical progress reduces domestic firms’ demand for emissions, the price of permits falls, imports increase and, potentially, total emissions from consumption rise. Combining the markets for ETS and CBAM permits would overcome this problem.
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Working Paper 17 January 2024
The welfare effects of leaving the EU: a first ex-post assessment
By Nicolò Tamberi.
View postSummary CITP publication
This paper presents the first ex-post evaluation of the welfare effects of leaving the EU for the year 2021. The calculation accounts for changes in trade costs between the UK and the EU and changes in the UK Most Favoured Nation (MFN) tariff schedule.
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Blog post 21 November 2023
Understanding data: making the right comparison is hard to do
By Nicolò Tamberi.
View postSummary CITP publication
This blog discusses how analysis of data can sometimes be misleading, if not carried out in a robust and considered manner.
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Working Paper 31 October 2023
Preferential trade agreements under uncertainty
By Nicolò Tamberi et al.
View postSummary CITP publication
The author develops a model of trade in a Preferential Trade Agreement (PTA) with uncertainty about tariff preferences. With uncertainty, more firms trade under the Most Favoured Nation regime and total trade is reduced. The model is applied to Brexit and UK imports from PTA partners.
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