Publications

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17 Publications found…

  • Working Paper 26 February 2026

    The elasticity of imports to MFN tariffs

    By Nicolò Tamberi et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This paper estimates the elasticity of imports to Most Favoured Nation (MFN) tariffs.

    Topics

  • Working Paper 20 February 2026

    The trade elasticity from tariff-based regressions: what do we measure?

    By Nicolò Tamberi et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This paper demonstrates that ignoring low preference utilisation rates leads to a fundamental mismeasurement of trade elasticity and systematic overprediction of the trade effects of FTAs.

    Topics

  • Blog post 2 February 2026

    One year on: has Trump killed world trade? Not yet!

    By Nicolò Tamberi and L. Alan Winters CB.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog provides details of the impact of President Trump’s trade policy over the past year.

    Topics

  • Briefing Paper 26 January 2026

    Certainty pays off: The tangible trade benefits of the UK-India trade agreement (that no one talks about)

    By Nicolò Tamberi, Ingo Borchert and Mattia Di Ubaldo et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This Briefing Paper quantitatively estimates the certainty effect imparted by the UK-India Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement in terms of stability and planning security.

    Topics

  • Working Paper 4 September 2025

    How to price CBAM permits: Combining the markets for ETS and CBAM carbon permits (revised)

    By Nicolò Tamberi and L. Alan Winters CB et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    In this paper, the authors propose that domestic producers and importers should bid in the same capped market for emissions permits.

    Topics

  • Working Paper 31 July 2025

    The dynamics of the trade elasticity: Evidence from the 2018 US trade war

    By Nicolò Tamberi.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This Working Paper investigates the trade elasticity. Elasticity determines the expected impact of tariff changes on trade flows, and it also plays a key role in calculating the welfare gains from trade in economic models.

    Topics

  • Blog post 4 April 2025

    Reciprocal tariffs: some simulations

    By Nicolò Tamberi.

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    Summary CITP publication

    We simulate the possible effects of the US Reciprocal Tariffs using a modern trade model accounting for global supply chain linkages

    Topics

  • Briefing Paper 19 February 2025

    Regulatory cooperation through trade: Trends, challenges and recommendations for middle-power countries

    By Jiyeong Go, Emily Lydgate, Andrew Lang, Minako Morita Jaeger, Joris Hoste, Nicolò Tamberi and Bernard Hoekman et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This Briefing Paper discusses the challenge for middle-power countries in global trade governance and explores institutional factors that facilitate successful dialogue on industrial policy and trade.

    Topics

  • Blog post 15 February 2025

    The bazooka diplomacy of Trump’s tariffs (VoxEU)

    By Michael Gasiorek and Nicolò Tamberi.

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    Summary Non-CITP publication

    What are the broad arguments for raising tariffs and the potential repercussions for the US and other countries? How other countries will respond and consequences are very hard to predict. In the long run, we can expect a gradual decoupling of trade between the US and other countries as the uncertainty alone could deter firms from trading with the US, reducing US exports and imports says Michael Gasiorek and Nicolò Tamberi in this VoxEU column.

    Topics

  • Blog post 8 November 2024

    Will Trump impose his tariffs? They could reduce the UK’s exports by £22 billion.

    By Nicolò Tamberi.

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    Summary CITP publication

    Analysis of the impacts of Trumps proposed tariff on different UK sectors finds that ost UK industries will face steep challenges if the US goes ahead with the proposed tariffs.

    Topics