Publications
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272 Publications found…
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In The Media 23 January 2025
What is the pan-Europe customs area that the EU is open to the UK joining? (The Guardian)
View postSummary CITP publication
The EU trade commissioner mentioned that Brussels is open to the UK joining the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean Convention as part of “reset” discussions between the UK and the bloc. The Guardian points to a CITP study by Nicolò Tamberi that found this could not be “a gamechanger” for UK exports to the EU as the share of ingredients in UK-made products sourced in PEM countries mostly ranges from 1.1% to 2.8%.
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In The Media 17 January 2025
Mandelson praises Trump ahead of inauguration (BBC News)
View postSummary CITP publication
During his election campaign, Trump pledged to introduce a blanket charge on all foreign goods to protect domestic industries. Analysis by the University of Sussex's Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy (CITP) found this could result in a £22bn hit to the UK economy.
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In The Media 17 January 2025
Lib Dems demand Trump tariffs impact assessment (BBC News)
View postSummary CITP publication
The Liberal Democrats have called on the government to release analysis of the potential impact of Donald Trump imposing trade tariffs on the UK economy. The Lib Dems are pointing to a CITP study by Nicolo Tamberi that found that 20% tariffs on UK exports to the US could cost the British economy £22bn a year.
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In The Media 16 January 2025
Lib Dems table motion forcing Govt to release analysis of potential Trump trade war (Liberal Democrats)
View postSummary CITP publication
The Liberal Democrats are tabling a ‘Humble Address’ motion which would force the Government to release its analysis of the potential impact of Trump tariffs on the UK economy after CITP research revealed that 20% tariffs on UK exports to the US could cost the British economy £22bn a year.
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Academic Paper 7 January 2025
The UK's border carbon leakage trilemma
By Emily Lydgate and L. Alan Winters CB et al.
View postSummary CITP publication
Concern about manufacturing emissions relocating to places with lax climate regulation has led some countries, including the United Kingdom (UK), to consider, or introduce, carbon pricing on imported products in some sectors. Such regulations, known generically as Border Carbon Adjustments (BCAs), comprise the first mandatory requirements addressing emissions embodied in traded products. Existing analyses have identified BCA design options that minimize its controversial characteristics. In contrast, this article argues that optimization can only serve a subset of identified objectives: BCA design presents a policy trilemma between climate ambition, technical feasibility and international equity. The UK's status as a medium-sized economy proximate to the EU means that following EU BCA design, established through its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), will calibrate the UK's level of climate ambition (objective 1) to that of the EU, but lessen technical complexity (objective 2). It will not resolve international equity concerns (objective 3), but help the UK to address them diplomatically.
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Discussion Note 19 December 2024
The UK-EU Reset: What can be done on trade?
View postSummary CITP publication
This note summarises the discussion of a roundtable on trade relations between the EU and UK examining key proposals for resetting UK-EU relations. It considers regulatory alignment, geopolitical imperatives, sector-specific challenges and opportunities and business needs.
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Blog post 13 December 2024
The UK CBAM journey: Assessing the Government’s response to its consultation of March 2024
By Dongzhe Zhang, L. Alan Winters CB and Emily Lydgate.
View postSummary CITP publication
The challenges that will result if the UK CBAM diverges from the design of EU CBAM
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Discussion Note 11 December 2024
What should the Labour Government prioritise on agri-food trade?
View postSummary CITP publication
This Discussion Note summarises a roundtable event on agri-food trade. The discussion highlighted the growing domestic and international challenges facing the UK agri-food sector post-Brexit. A major focus was the potential for an EU-UK Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) agreement to streamline trade.
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In The Media 10 December 2024
'Mind-boggling' Brexit rules hit British food exports by £3bn a year (Sky News)
View postSummary Non-CITP publication
Sky News article looks at analysis from the CITP's Briefing paper 17 - An EU-UK SPS Agreement: The perils and possibilities of (re)alignment, which found that the shipping of UK food and agricultural products to the EU has fallen by more than 16% on average across the three years since Britain left the single market. While the fall has coincided with the war in Ukraine and the COVID pandemic, the exports between the UK and EU "demonstrate no recent signs of regaining previous levels".
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In The Media 10 December 2024
UK goods exports to EU drop by £3bn since Brexit, research finds (The Grocer)
View postSummary Non-CITP publication
This article in The Grocer quotes analysis from the CITP's Briefing paper 17 - An EU-UK SPS Agreement: The perils and possibilities of (re)alignment. Our study shows that exports of UK food goods to the EU have fallen by 16% compared with pre-Brexit averages. This amounts to £2.8bn fewer exports each year heading from Britain to the EU’s single market. Our research also found that trade flows showed no signs of returning to previous levels since Britain officially left the EU in 2021.
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