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335 Publications found…

  • Blog post 9 May 2025

    UK–India FTA in Focus: What We Know and What Lies Ahead

    By Sunayana Sasmal and Achyuth Anil.

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    Summary CITP publication

    Ahead of publication of the final text, this blog highlights key elements of the UK-India Free Trade Agreement discernible from information published and what it means for the UK, India and the world.

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  • Blog post 25 April 2025

    Why MFN matters – a message to the UK Government

    By Michael Gasiorek.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog discusses the importance of the MFN principle which underpins the international trading system we have today.

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  • Podcast 23 April 2025

    Top gear or crunching gears: Trade and the auto sector

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    Summary CITP publication

    Series 6, Episode 2 - When long-established international trade flows get disrupted, it's not always easy to predict the consequences. Given the adjustments that the UK is continuing to have to make as a result of leaving the EU single market a few years ago, and now President Trump’s global 25% tariff surcharge on imports of cars and components, the challenges are starting to pile up for Britain's automotive sector. How will exporters be affected by Trump’s tariffs, how should the British Government and British carmakers respond and what are the prospects for deepening and expanding trade with other countries around the world, especially in regards to raw materials? Joining our host, Chris Horseman (Borderlex), to discuss these issues are Emanuel Adam (British American Business), Ian Henry (AutoAnalysis) and Richard Gard (Nissan).

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  • In The Media 18 April 2025

    Tariffs, three months of negotiations does not mean that the worst is over, says economist Nicolò Tamberi

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    Summary CITP publication

    Article by Il Sole 24 Ore highlights President Trump’s tariffs and the potential for negotiations during the three-month pause, includes comments from Nicolò Tamberi: "the possibility that positive scenarios will not materialise should not be ruled out, that everything will not be fine"..."While the European Union is working on strengthening the conditions for assuming responsibility for continental defence and security, at the same time, it should rethink its commercial position in a context that is no longer characterized forever by the existence of a friend on the other side of the Atlantic, but which includes the possibility that it is a friend who can become an adversary. I hope this does not happen, however we are careful not to rule out such an eventuality simply to be optimistic".

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  • In The Media 17 April 2025

    Whatever Starmer agrees with Trump on trade, the trust is gone (The i Paper)

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    Summary CITP publication

    Article by The i Paper explores the question, “What concessions are Sir Keir Starmer prepared to offer Donald Trump when he strikes a trade deal with the US?” amidst his non-confrontational approach to Washington’s imposition of tariffs - 10% on goods exported to the US and 25% on UK car and steel exports. Rather than retaliate, Starmer is offering concessions on areas such as digital taxes and agriculture. Commenting on the broader implications, L. Alan Winters notes, “Trump has destroyed trust, and no one is going to get over that for a long time. People are not going to trust the US to be a reliable partner anymore, so we won’t ever restore the status quo and see trust return, or at least not this decade.”

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  • Blog post 17 April 2025

    Reciprocating to the Reciprocal Tariffs under the WTO

    By Achyuth Anil.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog examines the avenues that countries affected by the US's reciprocal tariffs could pursue under the WTO framework and their potential consequences.

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  • In The Media 16 April 2025

    Why China will not back down in Trump's tariff war (DW News)

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    Summary CITP publication

    In a live interview with DW News, Meredith Crowley remarked that China’s order to suspend deliveries of Boeing jets represents a significant setback for the U.S. manufacturer, which has faced ongoing domestic challenges and quality control issues in recent years, particularly with the 747 Max. The move could have serious implications for the highly skilled and well-paid jobs in the aerospace sector. Crowley also noted that the suspension poses operational difficulties for China, given its reliance on a Boeing-equipped fleet and trained pilots, which may prompt a short-term shift to acquiring used Boeing aircrafts from other parts of the world while exploring long-term retraining strategies to transition to alternative aircraft models.

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  • Blog post 16 April 2025

    Negotiating reciprocal tariffs: five guidelines to preserve the trading system

    By L. Alan Winters CB and Michael Gasiorek.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog outlines five positive steps that major trading partners to the US should take to preserve the essence of the global trading system when responding to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs.

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  • Working Paper 15 April 2025

    Exports in Disguise?: Trade Rerouting during the US–China Trade War

    By Ebehi Iyoha, Edmund Malesky, Jaya Y. Wen and Sung-Ju Wu et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This paper examines the issue of circumventing tariffs by rerouting goods through third-party countries using high-frequency trade data to analyse rerouting through Vietnam following the 2018 U.S.-China trade war.

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  • Working Paper 15 April 2025

    Regional deprivation, individual prospects and political resentment

    By Giovanni Facchini, Anja Neundorf, Sergi Pardos-Prado and Cecilia Testa et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    In this paper, the authors investigate whether individual income positions shape political attitudes differently based on local economic conditions.

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