Publications

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407 Publications found…

  • Blog post 3 February 2026

    Mapping UK trade policy- A systematic evidence-based foundation

    By Sahana Suraj.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog discusses the methods, approaches and motivations that shaped the UK Trade Policy: An Independent Review

    Topics

  • Blog post 3 February 2026

    Trade, productivity, and the UK economy: What the data tells us

    By Michael Gasiorek and Charlotte Humma.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog provides an overview of the trends that have shaped the UK’s international trade profile, along with the context within which trade policy must be viewed.

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  • Blog post 2 February 2026

    One year on: has Trump killed world trade? Not yet!

    By Nicolò Tamberi and L. Alan Winters CB.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog provides details of the impact of President Trump’s trade policy over the past year.

    Topics

  • Podcast 28 January 2026

    Greenland, Trump and trade coercion

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    Summary CITP publication

    Series 8, Episode 1 - In January, Trump threatened to impose tariffs on eight European countries who opposed his demand to take control of Greenland. Whilst this threat was later dropped, following discussions with NATO SC, what is the role of trade policy in the face of economic coercion? This podcast discusses the use of trade policy instruments in a coercive manner, the issues hanging over EU-US and UK-US trade relations, and where this positions the UK and the international rules-based trading system. Joining our host Chris Horseman (Borderlex) are Emily Lydgate (CITP), Allie Renison (SEC Newgate) and David Henig (ECIPE).

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  • Briefing Paper 26 January 2026

    Certainty pays off: The tangible trade benefits of the UK-India trade agreement (that no one talks about)

    By Nicolò Tamberi, Ingo Borchert and Mattia Di Ubaldo et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This Briefing Paper quantitatively estimates the certainty effect imparted by the UK-India Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement in terms of stability and planning security.

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  • In The Media 20 January 2026

    British craft beers are rushed to US to beat Trump’s Greenland tariffs (The i Paper)

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    Summary CITP publication

    This article in The i Paper examines the potential impact on British manufacturers of a proposed 20 per cent surcharge on all goods entering the US from next month (February), which could potentially rise to 35 per cent by summer. The piece includes comments from Michael Gasiorek, “It is possible that if the tariffs are implemented and the affected EU countries export less to the US, that they will then seek to export to other countries such as the UK, and may need to drop their prices to do so. This may however be a short term effect…Uncertainty tends to dampen down investment. This will ultimately impact on people through prices, or through wages and jobs.”

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  • Blog post 19 January 2026

    Trump’s Greenland tariffs

    By Michael Gasiorek.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog explores the differences between the new 'Greenland' tariffs to Trump's 'reciprocal' tariffs, how countries may respond, and implications for the international economic order.

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  • In The Media 19 January 2026

    How could Trump’s Greenland tariffs hit individual EU countries? (FT)

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    Summary CITP publication

    The US president has threatened to impose 10% tariffs from the beginning of February, on the eight countries (the UK, Denmark, Norway, Finland, Germany, France, Sweden, and the Netherlands) that have sent military forces to Greenland — rising to 25% on June 1. Trump wants the US to take ownership of the strategically important island. Assuming the tariffs on individual countries did come into force, the EU could be expected to retaliate collectively against the US measures, according to Michael Gasiorek. “We may be coming to the point where countries actually need to and will co-ordinate a response to Trump. Trump has crossed a line in going beyond simply some bilateral market-access [trade] negotiation to try and force Nato countries apart. I cannot see them agreeing to this,” says Gasiorek.

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  • Working Paper 13 January 2026

    Industrial policy and retaliatory protection under the WTO: Lessons from China

    By Yusheng Feng, Haishi Li, Siwei Wang and Min Zhu et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This study provides systematic evidence on how domestic subsidies shape foreign trade protection.

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  • Working Paper 12 January 2026

    The dawn of inequality

    By Mattia C. Bertazzini, Gina Eckhoff and Leander Heldring et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This paper investigates the drivers of early growth in inequality.

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