Publications

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43 Publications found…

  • Academic Paper 29 September 2025

    ‘We’re saying that we trust them but really we don’t’ Citizen jurors’ discursive framing of trust in international trade policy

    By Justyna A. Robinson, L. Alan Winters CB, Rhys Sandow, Sandra Young and Caitlin Hogan et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    One key consequence of the UK leaving the EU (Brexit) is that it now has full responsibility for making its own international trade policy. In this context, NatCen and the Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy initiated Citizens’ Juries on the topic of trade policy. From the transcripts of these juries, we created a corpus of 317,974 words. Using corpus-assisted discourse analysis, we focus on the concept of trust in trade policy. We find that trust conferred on actors in trade policy is limited. The greatest degree of trust is conferred on experts, on account of their epistemically-elevated position. The government is broadly not trusted. Jurors wished to be consulted about trade policy decisions and be assured that they are based on sound advice, but few wished to have a role in actually making them. Our findings highlight a deficit of trust among the jurors that could be remedied by greater perceived honesty and transparency from the government.

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  • Working Paper 4 September 2025

    How to price CBAM permits: Combining the markets for ETS and CBAM carbon permits (revised)

    By Nicolò Tamberi and L. Alan Winters CB et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    In this paper, the authors propose that domestic producers and importers should bid in the same capped market for emissions permits.

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  • Blog post 29 July 2025

    Asia and “reciprocal tariffs”: Is regionalism the antidote? (Hinrich Foundation)

    By L. Alan Winters CB.

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    Summary CITP publication

    Asian countries have many trade agreements, but these are not a unified system and most are shallow. Without expansion, they will not produce new trade flows to counter losses in US markets. A global response to Trump’s tariffs based on World Trade Organization rules is desirable says L. Alan Winters in this Hinrich Foundation blog.

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  • Academic Paper 25 July 2025

    Asia and “Reciprocal Tariffs” Is Regionalism the Antidote?

    By L. Alan Winters CB et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    Asian countries are signatories to many trade agreements that have featured innovation, steady persistent cooperation, and large coalitions, all of which are factors that may be important in preserving the world trading system from the Trump administration’s tariffs. However, these agreements are not a unified system and are mostly shallow; thus, without extension they will not produce new trade flows to counter losses in U.S. markets. Although President Donald Trump’s trade policy is chaotic and destructive, his new trade restrictions are unlikely to disappear completely, even with international pressure and hostile equity and bond markets. No Asian country will be able to avoid economic stresses resulting from the reduction in world growth that these policies could cause. The most vulnerable will be the developing countries that have actively pursued export-led development with the U.S. as a primary partner. With uncertainty prevalent, a global response to Trump’s tariffs based on World Trade Organization (WTO) rules is desirable.

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  • Blog post 20 May 2025

    A few important steps forward: the UK-EU strategic partnership

    By Ingo Borchert, Mattia Di Ubaldo, Michael Gasiorek, Peter Holmes and L. Alan Winters CB.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog looks at the UK-EU Common Understanding deal in terms of three areas related to trade: fisheries and trade in agri-food products, youth mobility, and cooperation on energy markets and carbon emissions.

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  • Blog post 16 April 2025

    Negotiating reciprocal tariffs: five guidelines to preserve the trading system

    By L. Alan Winters CB and Michael Gasiorek.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog outlines five positive steps that major trading partners to the US should take to preserve the essence of the global trading system when responding to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs.

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  • Blog post 14 April 2025

    The CBAM evolves: the EU’s Omnibus Regulation and anti-shuffling measures

    By L. Alan Winters CB and Dongzhe Zhang.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This blog examines two recent EU CBAM developments and their implications

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  • Blog post 8 April 2025

    Stronger together than apart? A Collective Action problem for dealing with a trade war with the USA

    By Lindsey Garner-Knapp, Javier Ruiz Diaz and L. Alan Winters CB.

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    Summary CITP publication

    As countries consider what they might do in response to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, this blog puts forward the case for collective action.

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  • Blog post 10 March 2025

    Mr Trump’s Reciprocal Tariffs and the Carbon Boarder Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM)

    By L. Alan Winters CB.

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    Summary CITP publication

    Will the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) be included in Trumps reciprocal tariffs?

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  • Working Paper 25 February 2025

    Whom do we trust to take trade policy decisions? Evidence from Citizen Juries in the UK

    By Maria Savona, Alice Livingston Ortolani and L. Alan Winters CB et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    This Paper explores public attitudes towards trade policy in the UK through a series of citizen juries.

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