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2 Publications found…

  • Working Paper 30 January 2024

    The consequences of a trade collapse: Economics and politics in Weimar Germany

    By Giovanni Facchini and Björn Brey et al.

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    Summary CITP publication

    What are the political consequences of de-globalization? This paper uses newly digitized data of Weimar Germany to reveal that the Nazi party vote surge between 1928-1932 was not driven by the direct effects of the export decline in manufacturing areas but that the trade shock-induced declines in food prices spread economic hardship to rural hinterlands.

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  • Academic Paper 16 August 2022

    The political economy of preferential trade agreements: An empirical investigation

    By Giovanni Facchini et al.

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    Summary Pre-CITP publication

    The authors develop a political economy model to study the decision of representative democracies to join a preferential trading agreement, distinguishing between free trade areas and customs unions. Their theoretical analysis shows that bilateral trade imbalances and income inequality are important factors determining the formation of preferential trading agreements, whereas the patterns of geographic specialisation explain whether a customs union or a free trade area will emerge. The empirical analysis—using a comprehensive panel dataset spanning 187 countries over the period 1960–2015—provides strong support for these predictions.

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